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受疫情影響，西方各國(guó)發(fā)生嚴(yán)重的經(jīng)濟(jì)危機(jī)和金融危機(jī)，為了緩解危機(jī)，西方各國(guó)央行瘋狂印鈔，向全世界輸出通貨膨脹，以此轉(zhuǎn)嫁危機(jī)。導(dǎo)致各種工業(yè)原輔材料總體呈不斷上漲趨勢(shì)，更有多種材料價(jià)格屢創(chuàng)新高。全球貨幣供應(yīng)量暴增，是這輪原材料價(jià)格暴漲的原因。

Affected by the epidemic, serious economic and financial crises have occurred in western countries. In order to alleviate the crisis, the central banks of western countries are crazy to print money and export inflation to the world, so as to pass on the crisis. As a result, all kinds of industrial raw and auxiliary materials are on the rise, and the prices of many kinds of materials have reached new highs. The surge in the global money supply is the reason for the surge in raw material prices.

二、原材料上漲特點(diǎn)

2、 Rising characteristics of raw materials

從中國(guó)生產(chǎn)價(jià)格指數(shù)（PPI）的實(shí)踐上看，工業(yè)品價(jià)格有較強(qiáng)的全球共振，中國(guó)PPI與進(jìn)口價(jià)格指數(shù)和全球能源及金屬指數(shù)的波動(dòng)較為一致，需要更多站在全球的視角上看待工業(yè)品原材料價(jià)格。

From the practice of China's production price index (PPI), the price of industrial products has strong global resonance. The fluctuation of China's PPI is more consistent with that of import price index and global energy and metal index. It is necessary to look at the price of industrial raw materials from a global perspective.

從供給端來(lái)看，新冠疫情極大沖擊并改變了全球產(chǎn)業(yè)鏈結(jié)構(gòu)，下游生產(chǎn)更多向中國(guó)轉(zhuǎn)移，但是整體產(chǎn)業(yè)鏈的重構(gòu)會(huì)帶來(lái)摩擦成本，而工業(yè)原材料的全球供應(yīng)格局比較集中化，一旦個(gè)別地區(qū)受到新冠疫情沖擊而影響產(chǎn)能，即會(huì)在邊際上極大的影響工業(yè)原材料價(jià)格。

From the supply side, COVID-19 has greatly impacted and changed the global industrial chain structure, and downstream production has shifted more to China. However, the reconstruction of the overall industrial chain will bring friction costs, while the global supply pattern of industrial raw materials is more centralized. Once the impact of COVID-19 on individual areas is affected, the capacity of industrial raw materials will be greatly affected by the marginal price of industrial raw materials.

從需求端來(lái)看，新冠疫情確實(shí)“創(chuàng)造了”新的需求，而且得益于各經(jīng)濟(jì)體的大規(guī)模貨幣財(cái)政刺激政策，居民現(xiàn)金流并不差，并使得需求有能力實(shí)現(xiàn)。

From the demand side, COVID-19 did "create" new demand, and benefited from the large-scale monetary and fiscal stimulus policies of various economies. The cash flow of residents is not bad, and the demand is able to be realized.